BID – Results exceed expectations with robust gains from FX trading, investment securities; EGM for new BOD, BOS members – Earnings Flash & EGM Note
  • 2024-01-30T00:00:00
  • Company Research

BID released its 2023 results with TOI of VND73.0tn (USD3.0bn; +5.1% YoY) and bottom-line net profit of VND21.6tn (USD891mn; +19.2% YoY), fulfilling 102% and 98% of our respective FY2023 forecasts. Q4 2023 NPAT-MI was VND6.1tn (+32.6% QoQ; +48.9% YoY). Overall, BID’s results were slightly ahead of our expectations thanks to stronger-than-expected gains from FX trading and investment securities. We see potential upside to our earnings forecasts for BID, pending a more extensive review.

  • 2023 credit growth was 16.3% YoY, with gross loans increasing 16.8% YoY while the corporate bond book decreased 43.1% YoY and accounted for a 0.4% credit balance. Q4 2023 credit growth was 7.4% QoQ. 
  • 2023 customer deposit growth was 15.7% YoY vs our full-year forecast of 11.0% YoY. In Q4 2023, BID’s CASA ratio improved better than our anticipation, which increased 1.9 ppts QoQ and 1.3 ppts YoY to 20.2%.
  • 2023 NIM decreased 35 bps YoY to 2.57% vs our full-year forecast of 2.67%, which we attribute partly to (1) support packages for customers and/or (2) slight deterioration in asset quality YoY. Q4 2023 NIM increased 14 bps QoQ mainly thanks to a drop in the COF, which could have been due to improving CASA ratio and/or deposit balance rolling over with lower deposit rates, outweighing the drop in the IEA yield.
  • 2023 NOII was VND16.9tn (+24.9% YoY), completing 115% of our full-year forecast. Strong NOII was mainly driven by (1) a 16.3% YoY increase in pure NFI, (2) 50.1% YoY increase in gains from FX trading, (3) a VND305bn gain from trading securities vs a VND32bn loss in 2022, and (4) an 11x YoY increase in gains from investment securities to VND2.9tn, which are partly offset by a 50.7% YoY decrease in net other income to VND2.1tn.
  • 2023 CIR increased 1.6 ppts YoY to 34.3% vs our full-year forecast of 35.3% due to a 10.4% YoY increase in OPEX that outweighed a 5.1% YoY increase in TOI. 
  • Asset quality slightly improved QoQ with the NPL ratio decreasing by 35 bps to 1.25% in Q4 2023 vs our forecast of 1.45%. In addition, the Q4 2023 Group 2 loan ratio decreased by 28 bps QoQ to 1.58%.  2023 write-off rate over gross loans was 1.01% vs our full-year forecast of 1.20%.
  • 2023 credit cost was 1.14% (vs 1.57% in 2022). Meanwhile, BID’s LLR was 182% (+23 ppts QoQ & -29 ppts YoY).

BID’s consolidated 2023 results

VND bn

2022

2023

YoY

Q4 2022

Q4 2023

YoY

NII

55,960

56,136

0.3%

14,428

14,869

3.1%

Non-interest income

13,520

16,889

24.9%

3,139

5,733

82.7%

OPEX

(22,715)

(25,080)

10.4%

(7,745)

(7,830)

1.1%

PPOP

46,765

47,944

2.5%

9,822

12,773

30.0%

Provision expenses

(23,842)

(20,295)

-14.9%

(4,576)

(4,885)

6.8%

NPAT-MI

18,086

21,552

19.2%

4,079

6,075

48.9%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loan growth**

12.4%

16.8%

4.4 ppts

1.8%

7.5%

5.7 ppts

Deposit growth**

6.8%

15.7%

8.9 ppts

4.2%

7.6%

3.4 ppts

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NIM

2.92%

2.57%

-35 bps

2.80%

2.72%

-8 bps

Interest-earning asset yield

6.31%

7.00%

69 bps

6.59%

6.86%

27 bps

Cost of funds

3.60%

4.72%

112 bps

4.03%

4.43%

40 bps

CASA ratio*

18.9%

20.2%

1.3 ppts

18.9%

20.2%

1.3 ppts

CASA ratio plus term deposits in FX

22.8%

23.9%

1.1 ppts

22.8%

23.9%

1.1 ppts

CIR

32.7%

34.3%

1.6 ppts

44.1%

38.0%

-6.1 ppts

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NPLs / Gross loans

1.19%

1.25%

6 bps

1.19%

1.25%

6 bps

Group 2 loans / Gross loans

1.67%

1.58%

-9 bps

1.67%

1.58%

-9 bps

Accrued interest / IEAs

0.62%

0.68%

6 bps

0.62%

0.68%

6 bps

Source: BID, Vietcap — *CASA volume included demand deposits and margin deposits; ** Q4 2022 and Q4 2023 loan and deposit growth is QoQ growth; 2022 and 2023 loan and deposit growth is YoY growth.

BID also held an Extraordinary General Meeting (EGM) in Hanoi today to elect an additional member to the board of directors (BOD) and two members to the board of supervisors (BOS) for the 2022-2027 period, with the following details: 

  1. Mr. Quach Hung Hiep – BID’s current Vice CEO – is elected to be an additional BOD member.
  2. Mrs. Ta Thi Hanh – BID’s current Chief Accountant – and Mr. Nguyen Trung Kien – BID’s Deputy Head of Internal Audit Department – are elected to be additional BOS members.

The EGM also approved to continue implementing the private placement plan in 2024 and approving a restructuring plan for the 2021-2025 period following the requirements of Decision 689/QD-TTg, the latter which was also observed at other banks.

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